Telemetry Dashboard & Market Glance
Live Telemetry HUD
Real-time orderbook ladder, telemetry orb status indicator, spread metrics, and live stream connectivity bit.
Temperature Distribution
Point-in-time NWS NBM/METAR forecast overlay mapped against historical Kalshi orderbook tick snapshots.
Collector & SQLite Telemetry
100ms batched SQLite disk writes, Litestream S3 replication state, WebSocket sequence gap tracking, and VPS alerts.
Strict Numeric Validation Gates
To prevent self-deception in backtesting, trading code is strictly locked until two quantitative gates pass on archived PROD tape.
Replays tape under 4 mechanical quote rules. Fills are marked out at T+1m, T+5m, and T+15m against event distribution mean drift. Passes only if net P&L clears >$15/day after markout degradation.
Scores forecast distributions against market-implied ladder probabilities using Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS). Evaluated pooled AND per-city (winning in Dallas does not authorize capital in Miami).
Infrastructure & Security Controls
Zero-Balance Key Provisioning
Kalshi API keys grant full account access. The collector VPS holds keys for a dedicated, zero-balance account. If the server is compromised, zero trading capital is exposed.
Point-in-Time Data Honesty
fetch_timestamp (when our machine received the packet) is the only legal join key for backtests. Model cycle times are metadata; assuming zero cycle lag fabricates illegal edge.
Litestream Replication & ISO-Week DBs
SQLite database files rotate on ISO-8601 week boundaries (spacebet_YYYY_Www.db). Continuous streaming replication to S3 via Litestream with zero-downtime container restarts.
Collector Execution Architecture
WebSocket & REST Ingestion
24/7 WebSocket connection tracking sequence gaps. Auto-triggers REST resnapshots on gap detection and batches SQLite writes every 100ms.
NWS Bulletin & METAR Ingestion
Fetches NWS NBM text bulletins (NBS/NBE) and METAR station observations with explicit gap rows when NWS endpoints 500.
Tape Replay & Gate Testing
Pure reader evaluators replay archived SQLite tapes at full temperature ladder level to evaluate Gate 1 toxicity and Gate 2 CRPS scores.
Need High-Reliability Data Pipelines or Real-Time Telemetry?
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